State of the Union: OK

State of the Union: OK

YouGov have just released another poll of Scottish voters concerning the attitudes towards Scottish independence, as well as measuring the popularity of a few top party leaders in Scotland and the UK.  Here’s what you need to know:

1.       Scots do not favour independence.  Unionists worried about the impacts of the Brexit vote may want to breathe a quick sigh of relief at this poll.  Though not a blow-away result in any sense, it does give an 8-point lead to the ‘No’ side of the Scottish independence debate.  46% of Scots polled said they would like independence, while 54% said they wouldn’t.

2.       Scots don’t want another referendum, either.  Only 37% of respondents said they want another referendum, while 50% opposed it.  It seems, then, that a number of Scots favour independence but do not want to go through the upheaval associated with a divisive referendum campaign.

3.       The SNP is still a juggernaut in Scottish politics, and the Tories are cementing themselves as the second party at Holyrood.  The SNP polled 52% in the YouGov poll, with the Scottish Conservatives ranking second with 21%.  With only 15% of the vote, Labour are 6 points behind the Tories now.  Here’s the whole picture:

Party

Headline voting intention

SNP

52%

Conservative

21%

Labour

15%

Lib Dems

5%

Green

3%

UKIP

2%

 

4.       Ruth Davidson is now the most popular top politician in Scotland.  The Scottish Conservative leader has now inched ahead of Nicola Sturgeon, the First Minister, to be the most popular leader in Holyrood.  Her net approval rating is +21 while Sturgeon’s is +20.  Labour isn’t doing very well: the Scottish Labour leader, Kezia Dugdale, has a net approval rating of -17, while the UK Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn, suffers from a rating of -42.  Theresa May has a middle-ranking rating of +13, with a higher proportion of voters not coming down on one side or the other.  Here are the numbers in full:

Name

% saying X is doing well

% saying X is doing badly

Net approval

Ruth Davidson

46%

25%

+21

Nicola Sturgeon

53%

33%

+20

Theresa May

35%

22%

+13

Kezia Dugdale

25%

42%

-17

Jeremy Corbyn

18%

60%

-42

 

 

May vs Corbyn: Survation

May vs Corbyn: Survation

Jeremy Corbyn is going to sweep the Labour leadership.  Again.

Jeremy Corbyn is going to sweep the Labour leadership. Again.